8/02/2018

一帶一路和三寶太監下西洋



嚴家祺:一帶一路和三寶太監下西洋

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《鄭和下西洋》劇照

《鄭和下西洋》劇照



一帶一路由兩部分組成,一帶是指「絲綢之路經濟帶」,一路是「21世紀海上絲綢之路」的簡稱。對中國來說,500多年前,就開闢了「海上絲綢之路」。「海上絲綢之路」的開闢者,就是明朝的三寶太監鄭和。

鄭和小名馬三寶,十歲時接受宮刑而成為宦官,服侍明朝開國皇帝朱元璋的第四個兒子朱棣。朱棣比馬三寶大十歲,後來讓馬三寶改名為鄭和。朱棣42歲時,當了皇帝,三年後,即1405年,派鄭和率領船隊向印度洋進行遠洋航行。當時中國人稱加里曼丹島以西為「西洋」,以東為「東洋」。從1405年至1433年,鄭和七下西洋,最遠到達阿拉伯半島和非洲東海岸。這就是現在說的「海上絲綢之路」。

哥倫布遠航發現美洲新大陸是在1492年,鄭和第一次遠航比哥倫布早了八十七年。鄭和時代,中國是世界強國,GDP(國民生產總值)佔全世界的三分之一。鄭和船隊有大船62艘,率士兵二萬八千餘人,滿載瓷器、茶葉、鐵器、絲綢和金銀,浩浩蕩蕩向東南亞出發,雖然也從事貿易,但首要目的是政治性的,是為了宣揚中國的「國威」,向所到國家的國王賜送禮物,用今天中國常用的話來說,就是「大撒幣」,擴大明帝國在海外的政治影響。

哥倫布遠航的條件比鄭和差了許多。當時支持哥倫布遠航的西班牙王國,連年不斷的戰爭使國庫空虛,哥倫布的遠航經費不得不靠商人銀行家的支持,加上借貸後才勉強湊足。哥倫布的船隊遠小於鄭和,只有三艘,船員九十名,最大的船長度不及鄭和的五分之一。十五世紀的葡萄牙、西班牙,與中國相比,國力小得多,屬於那個時代的「不發達國家」。當鄭和「大撒幣」散盡明帝國的財寶返回中國時,哥倫布首航歸來帶回的印第安人的黃金飾物的價值,就是他首航經費的一百七十倍。在哥倫布以後,首次實現環球航行的麥哲倫的水手們,在亞洲收購了大量丁香,到歐洲以成本一萬倍的價格售出了整船二十六噸丁香。1545-1560年間,西班牙平均每年從美洲運入的黃金有5500公斤、白銀25萬公斤。

1433年鄭和最後一次遠航回到中國,遠洋航行能力位居當時世界第一的中國,自己放棄了遠洋航行這一事業。1436年新登基的皇帝明英宗朱祁鎮宣佈停止建造遠洋船艦。1511年葡萄牙人攻佔了馬六甲,隨即侵犯中國東南海岸,派艦炮轟廣州。中國皇帝的反應是,驅趕入侵者,同時實施海禁。1525年明朝政府下令沿海官員摧毀一切可以作遠航的中國本國大船,並逮捕中國這些船隻的水手。當中國自廢海權時,葡萄牙、西班牙這些早期西方殖民者卻在全世界竭力擴張自己的海權,建立海外殖民地。

在21世紀的今日,「宇航員」是「未知世界探索者」的名稱,在十五世紀初,「航海者」與今日「宇航員」一樣,也是「未知世界的探索者」。達.伽馬繞過非洲南端的好望角到達非洲東海岸、哥倫布跨越大西洋到達美洲,當他們啟程時,他們連自己往何處去都不知道。與達.伽馬、哥倫布不同的是,三寶太監鄭和遠洋航行的是中國人與阿拉伯人早就熟悉的海上貿易路線。當葡萄牙人沿着達.伽馬開闢的路線在亞洲一些島嶼、沿海建立一個個據點、力圖控制跨越半個地球的商船航線時,當西班牙人在1521年征服北美的阿茲特克帝國,1532年征服南美的印加帝國和葡萄牙在此前宣佈佔領巴西時,中國不僅沒有向海外擴張、佔領殖民地的野心,而且主要是為了明朝的皇帝宣揚「國威」。

          鄭和時代的「海上絲綢之路」,談不上發展對外貿易,而是空前的「大撒幣」。鄭和遠航,確實大大增強了中國的國際影響,但中國老百姓並沒有得到什麼好處,而哥倫布遠航發現了新大陸。中國和西方世界的差距,就是鄭和與哥倫布的差距。

        現在的「海上絲綢之路」,與500多年前的三寶太監下西洋有四大共同點:

1,三寶太監鄭和下西洋的目的,如他死前一年1432年所立的石碑題文,是為了宣揚「皇明混一海宇,超三代而軼漢唐,際天極地,罔不臣妾」,是政治性的。現在中國開闢「海上絲綢之路」,主要也是政治性的,如果為了發展對外貿易,用不到像中國那樣把一種「商業行為」抬得那麼高,長年累月、反反復複大肆宣傳,不得不讓東南亞、印度、西亞、歐美國家大肆防備。

2,對外貿易不尊重經濟規律,到處「大撒幣」,用金錢討好「海上絲綢之路」國家的統治者,效果適得其反。

3,哥倫布的探索精神,在500多年前的三寶太監鄭和身上沒有,在今天「海上絲綢之路」中也看不到。

4,三寶太監鄭和的「海上絲綢之路」,轟轟烈烈近三十年,就銷聲匿跡;今天由於把貿易政治化,如果繼續按現在政治方式發展「海上絲綢之路」,也同樣會造成「不可持續」。

義大利耶穌會會士利瑪竇曾在1582年至1610年間居住中國,這正是葡萄牙、西班牙等國海外殖民的時代。利瑪竇認為,中國地域遼闊、物產豐富是中國不好戰、不尚侵略他國的原因。

中國不好戰、不對外擴張,當然無可非議,但不能為了宣揚中國「國威」而到處「大撒幣」,這不僅損害對外貿易的發展,而且損害中國人民的利益。發展對外貿易,要走「非政治化」的道路,不要再把一些不適當的政治口號強加於中國對外貿易頭上。

转载:香港《苹果日报》2018-7-28


7/27/2018

张凯律师:都在一条船上


张凯律师

编者注: 原帖已被删除。
2010年春天,我和十几位律师、记者一起研讨山西 毒 疫 苗事件。
我把研讨会记录放在我的博客里,第二天,文章被删,为了表示抗议,我把这个事记录在了博客里。
之后,律师和记者分头行动,一系列维权过程我都写在博客里,但文章很快被外星人劫持了。
那一年,我见了很多当事人,他们的孩子在打完疫苗之后,有的忽然抽搐,有的死了……。

6/08/2018

戊戌的脉动——中国道统与清国、民国、党国的历史演变 (修改版)

作者: 吴称谋


Image result for 戊戌变法120,中国
四个戊戌的脉动

内容提要:

本文从形而上的哲学角度来分析,中国近现代史上的1838、1898、1958、2018四个戊戌年,中国社会发生的巨大而深远的变革,以及它们之间的哲学逻辑、内在关联和社会后果。1838年的戊戌禁烟,引发了洋务运动;1898年的戊戌变法,引发了辛亥革命;1958年戊戌公社,引发了改革开放;2018年戊戌修宪,必将引发酝酿已久的宪政革命。

5/24/2018

四个戊戌的历史规律

“戊戌变法”的图片搜索结果
四个戊戌的历史规律----
戊戌禁烟、戊戌变法、戊戌公社、戊戌修宪


中国近代史上,四个戊戌之年所引发的巨大历史变革,其历史规律和内在逻辑非常奇妙。值得有志之精英学者研究、评判未来之发展局势。

1838 戊戌禁烟,经济领域,贸易战争失败的结果是打开国门(正面效果),二十年后发起了洋务运动(正面效果);

1898 戊戌变法,政治领域,失败的结果是清国灭亡(正面效果),
十三年后发生了辛亥革命(正面效果);

1958 戊戌公社,经济领域,惨败的结果是饿死三千万百姓(负面效果),八年后发生文革(负面效果),二十年后发生改革开放(正面效果)。

2018 戊戌修宪,政治领域,自我膨胀,盲目吹嘘,引起西方警惕,开启贸易战(负面效果);减低关税,解除部分网络封锁,百姓受益(正面效果);政治倒退,个人集权,思想僵化,言论窒息,官员怠政(负面效果);红二代公开反对,五四青年节北大张贴大字报(正面效果)

历史上的四个戊戌之年,经济和政治领域的变革交替进行,而且正面效果多于负面效果。

1838与1958的戊戌脉动,均经过二十年的酝酿开始变革的,前后两次使得中国基本上实现了富国图强的变革目标。

1898与2018的戊戌变革,前一次经过了十三年的裂变,引发的辛亥革命结束了两千年的帝制,后一次必然要酝酿一段时间,才能引发宪政革命,进而结束三千年的专制。

碰撞,只有碰撞才会破局;折腾,只有折腾才有希望……

在顽钝之中寻找历史脉动,中华民族终将赢得自由!

5/23/2018

問道天涯路 常思家國情

十年文革    百年反思

文革五十周年(1966-2016)北美研讨会 

吴称谋 《向天问道》

天道回环成四季,春风拂面百花开。

尽管神州隐雾霾,终将迎来艳阳天。

文革遗毒半世纪,今朝重审驱阴霾。

华夏赤子论红祸,探究国史展未来。


2014 “問道天涯路    常思家國情”紐約新書發布會


作品問世,順天應時,海內外互動,兩世紀結晶。

5/11/2018

哭泣的北大

 Image result for 林建华




文章千古事,得失寸心知。

近日北大校庆,搞成了“北大笑料”。关于林建华校长在致辞典礼上读错字、发公开信道歉之风波,公众除了饭后茶余无奈地苦笑之外,更多的是感到一种莫名的悲哀,内心或许会引发出一种难以名状的痛 .....

5/08/2018

Wu Chenmou:The Call of History 《历史期待拐点》文集导论

The Call of History
《历史期待拐点》


It has been nearly half a century since the outbreak of the Cultural Revolution in the 1960s. This nationwide movement was fueled by ideologies such as “No Crimes in Revolution, All Justified in Rebellion,” a time when the most horrendous acts swept across China like tornadoes, leaving one of the darkest periods in Chinese history. The Cultural Revolution only came to an end with Mao’s death and the collapse of the Gang of Four. Since then, China has transformed from a poor and fragile country on the brink of collapse into the world’s second-largest economy. In the long shadow of Chinese history, fifty years is but a fleeting moment. As a Chinese proverb says, “falls as abruptly and rapidly as it rises.”

A Chinese party-state official once questioned the significance of commemorating the Cultural Revolution, noting that while the Ming Dynasty was unprecedentedly corrupt, it still lasted over 200 years. His point implied that contemporary corruption might not necessarily bring down the party-state and that overseas Chinese pro-democracy efforts could be futile. Yet history demonstrates that many dynasties rose and fell swiftly. The rapid rise and fall of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom and the Kuomintang’s ouster from mainland China, for example, can all be traced to corruption. Internationally, dramatic changes in Eastern Europe, the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the collapse of the Soviet Communist Party, and recent transformations in the Middle East and North Africa all attest to the truth of the proverb: “falls as abruptly and rapidly as it rises.” Thus, the party-state could collapse without warning.

The dramatic changes in China have attracted the attention of scholars both inside China and abroad, prompting them to explore and interpret these transformations. Any dissenting voices, however, are often labeled “overseas hostile organizations” or “anti-China forces.” How the Chinese government addresses overseas patriotic acts, therefore, becomes a vital question—requiring openness, reassessment of old concepts, and adjustments to foreign policy. In this context, we publish this anthology in the United States: A Turning Point Long-Awaited in History — Retrial of the Cultural Revolution and Exploration of the Future. The book’s title reflects the authors’ perspective: authoritarian rule in China has persisted for over two thousand years, but a one-party dictatorship must end in the 21st century. By reflecting on the Cultural Revolution and contemporary history, a turning point can emerge. Our goal is not to expose individual wrongdoings or oppose the Chinese government, but to provide constructive suggestions for exploring China’s future path and development.

It is important to recognize and appreciate China’s impressive economic progress today. Yet throughout Chinese history, authorities have consistently attempted to showcase their “superior achievements” to mask a multitude of sins. The Qin Dynasty wielded a strong military to overshadow harsh laws and brutality; the Tang Dynasty displayed magnificent culture but suffered from corruption and border troubles; the Song Dynasty prospered economically but had a weak military; the Ming Dynasty achieved advanced maritime technology yet endured tyranny and eunuch rule; the Qing Dynasty controlled vast territories and enjoyed glory, but faced inequality, corruption, conservatism, and closed borders. While the achievements of each dynasty did not prevent eventual decline, their weaknesses inevitably contributed to their demise. Today, it is urgent for China to focus on its disadvantages rather than merely celebrate its successes. What are China’s shortcomings? Where do societal ailments originate? By treating world history as a mirror and learning from international experience, Chinese thinkers with dialectical, global, and historical perspectives can objectively and rationally analyze contemporary phenomena.

In light of this, Tianwen United Institute organized a symposium titled “Rethinking the Cultural Revolution to Explore China’s Forthcoming Development.” We selected excellent speeches and paper submissions to form this book, a collection that discusses the Cultural Revolution in two parts. Part I, History and Present, contains ten articles; Part II, Cultural Revolution and Study of Cultural Revolution, contains eight articles. These contributions are briefly introduced as follows:

“Will the Second Cultural Revolution Probably Take Place in the Future?” by Mr. Yao Jianfu, a retired researcher at the Rural Development Research Center of the China State Council, argues that China’s “Four Cardinal Principles” were a “lame reform” that could inevitably lead to a resurgence of the Cultural Revolution. He posits that such an event is likely if economic, political, and social crises reach a boiling point, with landless peasants and migrant workers as the main force. Mr. Yao stresses the importance of studying the Cultural Revolution carefully to prevent future tragedies. He advocates political reforms to achieve social justice and suggests that freedom of speech could alleviate social pressure. Mr. Cai Nancheng, with extensive experience planning and building museums in China, shares his expertise in creating a museum dedicated to the Cultural Revolution, providing candid insights into China’s social transformation.

Mr. Gao Falin, in Mao Zedong’s ‘Great Harmony Dream’ and the Cultural Revolution, examines Mao’s motivations. He asks: “What did Mao Zedong aim to accomplish? Did he seek to add elements to the Soviet socialist model? No. Mao wanted an entirely new socialist system. He sought to resolve issues no previous revolutionist had addressed: eliminating social classes and ensuring every citizen participated in community management.” He emphasizes that Mao’s vision of an ideal society permeated his entire revolutionary career. Mao not only aspired to be a communist pontiff but also envisioned himself as a tutor for humanity; at one point, he told Edgar Snow he merely wanted to be a “teacher.” Mr. Gao’s article illuminates Mao’s utopian ambitions and complex motives in launching the Cultural Revolution, providing invaluable insight for scholars and evaluators of Mao’s legacy.

Dr. Wang Guilan examines the Cultural Revolution through Yao Shuping’s novel The Land of Sadness, highlighting the brutality of the Red Guards and its devastating impact on Chinese education. She identifies three critical flaws in education: lack of general education, deviation from proper educational philosophy, and suspension of historical and cultural research. Dr. Wang urges educators to confront the essential question: what kind of individuals should students become? Her commitment to education underscores the necessity of reviving Chinese culture.

I contribute an article proposing that China should adopt a new perspective on culture and history through reflection on the Cultural Revolution. This cultural framework should be grounded in the Tao of the universe and faith in God. It encompasses multiple paths, including Tai Chi, Christian theology, Taoist principles, Zen philosophy, and Confucian human relationships. If China seizes this rare historical opportunity, it could not only revive its cultural heritage but also emerge as a global leader in a New Axial Age.

Mr. Ren Yanfang, in Tang Mo’s Death and My Repentance from his memoir Changchun Film Studio Nightmare—Reflection on Cultural Revolution and Repentance, recounts his youth, initially viewing the Communist Party as his “mother,” and details his spiritual torment during the Cultural Revolution. He exposes the political circumstances surrounding Tang Mo’s death and illustrates how Party ideology oppressed humanity. His honest reflections and repentance, written near the age of eighty, are compelling and deeply moving.

Ms. Li Ying, born in 1989, analyzes the ten-year Cultural Revolution within the broader sweep of Chinese history. She concludes that Mao’s era was more authoritarian than traditional imperial society, representing the height of authoritarianism. Other young scholars, such as Mr. Chen Chuangchuang, Mr. Lu Wenguang, and Mr. Li Zhang Sheng, offer analyses of historical facts, group dynamics, and the causes of the Cultural Revolution, providing new perspectives and refreshing insights.

Mr. Luo Weinian, in Exploring the Cyclical Crisis of Political Power Succession from the Tragedy of Cultural Revolution, argues that China’s highest political succession inherently leads to cyclical crises due to authoritarian structures. Mr. Gong He examines democracy, republicanism, and authoritarianism through the lens of the Cultural Revolution, emphasizing the importance of separation of powers. Mr. Ding Kaiwen discusses the role of the People’s Liberation Army, while Mr. Xing Dakun examines Lin Biao’s incident and the 9th Party Congress, illustrating why Mao’s planned three-year Cultural Revolution extended into ten years. Mr. Feng Shengping offers a psychoanalytic view, stressing repentance and introspection to heal the nation’s “vacuum-like souls.” Ms. Chu Juehui highlights the moral deficiencies of educated elites at Peking University, emphasizing that knowledge alone does not equal virtue.

Ms. Xu Xiaoqing and Mr. Sun Yingping share memoirs recounting their families’ suffering during the Cultural Revolution, both having been genuine believers in communism. Their testimonies provide universal, historically representative accounts. Mr. Li Zhensheng’s Let the Whole World Understand the Disaster of Chinese Cultural Revolution documents his international efforts to educate the public about the Cultural Revolution through photography and public lectures, offering a candid, introspective perspective.

Not all submissions or speeches are included, such as Mr. Wei Bizhou, Deputy Managing Editor at World Journal, who emphasized that despite China’s economic rise, its future remains uncertain if Cultural Revolution legacies remain unresolved. Mr. Luo Weinian discussed “princelings” and their need for reflection, while Dr. Wang Guilan highlighted the importance of cultivating responsible global citizens.

Taken as a whole, A Turning Point Long-Awaited in History — Retrial of Cultural Revolution and Exploration of Future is not confined to the ten years of the Cultural Revolution. It connects modern and contemporary Chinese history, politics, culture, and education, showing that the Cultural Revolution was not an isolated political event. The articles reflect patriotism, intellectual rigor, and the best intentions of Tianwen United Institute. Whether these hopes come to fruition is left to the readers and history to decide.

Truly concerned overseas Chinese are rare, a tragedy for the nation and misfortune of the times. As Mr. Li Zhensheng notes, “I never expected that Brazil, in remote South America, would still care about the Chinese Cultural Revolution. While I was speaking there, only two ethnic Chinese attended—one from Hong Kong and one from Taiwan. No one from mainland China was present. This was deeply saddening.”

In our “global village” era, our destiny is intertwined with the development of our homeland. Only through understanding the past and present can we love our homeland rightly; only through morality and justice can we care for its future. The authors of this anthology have courageously highlighted China’s weaknesses, and if this collection inspires readers to reflect on their homeland and its future, then we will have achieved our highest purpose.